Graduate Research Course

Climate Change & Biodiversity

From radiative forcing to the sixth mass extinction β€” how rising temperatures, ocean acidification, and habitat loss reshape life on Earth, and what science tells us about solutions.

+Temperature RisepHOcean AcidificationiceIce Loss!Extreme Weather~Species ShiftsXExtinction RiskCO2CO2

Key Equations of Climate & Biodiversity

Radiative Forcing

\( \Delta F = 5.35 \ln(C/C_0) \quad \text{(W/m}^2\text{)} \)

Climate Sensitivity

\( \Delta T = \lambda \cdot \Delta F, \quad \lambda = \frac{1}{\alpha - \sum f_i} \)

Species-Area Relationship

\( S = cA^z, \quad \Delta S/S \approx z \cdot \Delta A/A \)

Ocean pH Change

\( \text{pH} = -\log[\text{H}^+], \quad \Delta\text{pH} \approx -0.3 \text{ per doubling CO}_2 \)

Thermal Tolerance

\( P_{survival} = \exp\!\left(-\frac{(T - T_{opt})^2}{2\sigma_T^2}\right) \)

Phenological Mismatch

\( W = W_{max} \exp\!\left(-\frac{(\Delta t)^2}{2\sigma^2}\right) \)

Featured Lectures

Introduction to the Science of Climate Change

What Climate Science Says About Extreme Weather

Modeling Weather-Related Catastrophe Risk in a Warming Climate

Hurricane Physics & Risk in a Changing Climate

Heat Waves: Extreme Events in a Warming World

About This Course

Earth’s climate has warmed by 1.1Β°C since pre-industrial times, and atmospheric COβ‚‚ now exceeds 420 ppm β€” levels not seen in at least 800,000 years. This warming is not merely a physical phenomenon: it is reorganising the biosphere. Species are shifting poleward at 17 km per decade, coral reefs face bleaching thresholds within 1.5Β°C of warming, and extinction rates now run 100–1,000 times above background levels.

This course unifies climate physics and biodiversity science through quantitative models: radiative forcing equations, species-area power laws, thermal tolerance curves, phenological mismatch functions, and extinction-debt dynamics. Each module pairs rigorous derivations with real-world case studies β€” from Arctic permafrost carbon feedbacks to tropical coral reef tipping points.

Cross-links to our Ecological Biochemistry and Climatology courses provide deeper dives into biogeochemical cycles and atmospheric dynamics respectively.

Nine Modules

M0

Climate Science Foundations

Greenhouse effect, radiative forcing, IPCC scenarios, the carbon cycle, and Earth's energy budget.

Greenhouse EffectRadiative ForcingCarbon Cycle

M1

Temperature & Ecosystems

Thermal tolerance curves, metabolic scaling with temperature, biome shifts, and treeline advance under warming.

Thermal ToleranceMetabolic ScalingBiome Shifts

M2

Ocean Chemistry & Life

Ocean acidification mechanisms, coral bleaching thresholds, deoxygenation dead zones, and fisheries collapse modeling.

Ocean AcidificationCoral BleachingDeoxygenation

M3

Cryosphere & Biodiversity

Arctic amplification feedbacks, permafrost thaw and carbon release, glacier retreat timelines, and polar species adaptation.

Arctic AmplificationPermafrost ThawPolar Species

M4

Extreme Weather & Ecology

Drought-driven die-offs, wildfire regime shifts, hurricane intensification, and flood impacts on riparian ecosystems.

Wildfire RegimesHurricane EcologyDrought Impacts

M5

Migration & Phenology

Climate-driven range shifts, phenological mismatch between species, migratory disruption, and invasive species expansion.

Range ShiftsPhenological MismatchInvasive Species

M6

Extinction Dynamics

The sixth mass extinction, extinction debt and time lags, ecological tipping points, and IUCN Red List projection models.

6th Mass ExtinctionTipping PointsIUCN Red List

M7

Adaptation & Evolution

Evolutionary rescue under rapid warming, phenotypic plasticity limits, assisted migration ethics, and genetic adaptation rates.

Evolutionary RescuePlasticityAssisted Migration

M8

Conservation Solutions

Protected area networks, the 30x30 target, nature-based climate solutions, rewilding programs, and carbon market mechanisms.

30x30 TargetNature-Based SolutionsRewilding

Recommended Textbooks

  • [1] IPCC (2021). Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis (AR6 WGI). Cambridge University Press.
  • [2] Thomas, C.D. (2017). Inheritors of the Earth: How Nature Is Thriving in an Age of Extinction. Allen Lane.
  • [3] Hannah, L. (2022). Climate Change Biology, 3rd ed. Academic Press.
  • [4] Parmesan, C. (2006). Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 37, 637–669.